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PALANTIR STOCK DROP EVEN AFTER STRONG RESULTS

For Q3 2025, Palantir report revenue of $1.181 billion (around ₦1.78 trillion), up 63% year-on-year, beating Wall Street estimate of $1.09 billion. Adjusted EPS climb go $0.21 (+110%), GAAP profit jump 231% to $476 million (₦717 billion). Free cash flow also rise 46% to $540 million (₦814 billion). The company get $6.4 billion (₦9.6 trillion) cash and zero debt. U.S. commercial revenue grow by crazy 121%. Management still raise guidance again — Q4 revenue go reach $1.33 billion (₦2 trillion), and full-year 2025 revenue go dey between $4.396–$4.400 billion (+53%). But still, PLTR stock fall 7.2% for Tuesday trade, close around $192 (₦289,000 per share equivalent) after e touch $185 intraday. Year-to-date, stock still up 156%, with market cap about $450 billion (₦675 trillion). For Naija investors, this one na reminder say even when you blow expectations out of water, market fit still vex when valuation don too high.

Why market no happy even with good news?


Market no dey always make sense. Palantir kill all the analyst expectations, but investors don already price in perfection. The stock dey trade at 229× forward free cash flow and over 200× forward earnings — meaning e already too hot before the earnings land.


Valuation don too high, people cash out


After stock don rise 150% for the year, many traders just use the good news take collect profit. Na classic “sell the news” move. You sabi as e be — same thing dey happen for NGX sometimes when big names like Airtel or Seplat release solid numbers, but people still dump am to take gain quick quick.


AI sector dey shake small


That same day, Nasdaq drop 2% because people dey fear say AI don turn bubble. All the big AI names like Nvidia, AMD, and Palantir just dey collect heat. For Wall Street, e be like correction; for Naija, we go call am “market dey take small breath.”


Michael Burry wahala


Another drama come from Michael Burry — that guy wey dem feature for The Big Short. E file show say e get $912 million Palantir puts and $187 million Nvidia puts — 80% of e portfolio! Even though na 45-day-old info, headlines still scatter everywhere: “Big Short 2.0.” That alone make plenty small investors panic.


  • Valuation >200× future earnings

  • Nasdaq drop 2% because AI bubble fear

  • Michael Burry story shake confidence

  • Algorithmic trading speed up the sell-off

  • People dey take profit after 156% gain


So make we talk true — this no be bad results, na just market psychology and greed meeting fear. Same thing fit happen even for Lagos market if hype don pass the reality.


Palantir still strong like rock


Behind the panic, Palantir still dey show strong performance. The fundamentals dey solid — high growth, no debt, and big cash balance. Na rare combo even for global tech giants.


U.S. business dey boom


The company commercial revenue for U.S. don grow 121% as many private firms dey rush to use Palantir AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform). The platform dey help companies use AI to make decisions faster — same way fintech and telcos for Nigeria dey begin adopt machine learning for fraud control and customer data.


Cash plenty, no debt wahala


With $6.4 billion (₦9.6 trillion) in cash and no debt, Palantir fit invest anyhow e like or buy up smaller AI firms. E get the kind financial muscle wey GTBank or Dangote Group go respect. For any global company, that kind cash na king.


Guidance don rise again


Palantir management don raise target again: Q4 revenue forecast at $1.33 billion (₦2 trillion) and 2025 free cash flow between $1.9–2.1 billion (₦2.9–₦3.2 trillion). For tech company, that one mean strong momentum dey continue.


  • Revenue: +63%

  • EPS: +110%

  • Profit: +231%

  • Free cash flow: +46%

  • Cash: $6.4B (₦9.6T)

  • Debt: 0


Bottom line, Palantir no weak. Na the kind stock wey get real earning power, not hype. For Naija investors wey dey think long-term, this na company wey fit deliver solid compounding returns — just like when MTN Nigeria first list and people wey hold long make real money.


The company crushed it, the stock got crushed.

The company crushed it, the stock got crushed.

Opportunity or small trap?


For short-term traders, the 7% fall pain. But for long-term holders, e fit be sweet chance. Palantir still dey lead for AI revolution, same way Access Bank dey expand for Africa banking. If you believe AI never reach half of e potential, this dip fit be free ticket.


AIP dey run things


The AIP platform don turn the backbone of AI automation. Every time company adopt am, the network get stronger. Na like when fintech platforms like Flutterwave begin connect all small businesses across Naija — Palantir dey do same thing for global corporations with AI data tools.


Support level still dey strong


For chart people, the $185–190 range (₦278,000–₦285,000) na key support level. With recent high of $207 (₦310,000), e be like say the pullback na small rest, not full breakdown. As we dey talk, plenty funds don dey buy the dip below ₦280,000 equivalent.


  • +156% gain before correction

  • AI market still dey young

  • Debt-free, strong cash

  • Real earnings and demand dey grow

  • Support ~₦280,000 zone


So if you be Naija investor wey believe for future tech, Palantir na name you suppose dey watch. Volatility dey, but the direction still point up. Na stock wey go reward patient hands — if you fit hold am like good palm wine wey dey better with time.


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